Heidelberg Utd vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidelberg Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
DAC
4 - 3
HEU
15%
18%
67%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
HEU
1 - 0
GRE
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
HEU
1 - 1
AVH
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
HUM
1 - 0
HEU
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
HEU
1 - 1
STA
86%
10%
5%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
MEL
0 - 2
AVH
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
HUM
2 - 3
MEL
57%
22%
22%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 2
ELS
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
BEN
5 - 1
MEL
53%
22%
24%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 0
SOU
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |