FC Hegelmann vs Sūduva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
2º
6º
4º
35
6º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Hegelmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
DAI
1 - 2
HLI
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
HLI
1 - 1
KZA
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ZAL
4 - 0
HLI
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 2
HLI
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
HLI
1 - 0
TRA
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sūduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SUD
2 - 6
KZA
25%
28%
47%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 2
SUD
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
DTE
0 - 0
SUD
24%
23%
54%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
SUD
1 - 0
BAN
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
SUD
2 - 0
DAI
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |