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Oberliga. Baja Sajonia, Matchday 18

Heeslinger SC TuS Bersenbrück
10 ELO 5
33% Tilt 0%
7688º General ELO ranking 9107º
217º Country ELO ranking 317º
ELO win probability
58.4%
Heeslinger SC
22.5%
Draw
19.1%
TuS Bersenbrück

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
Heeslinger SC
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.1%
Win probability
TuS Bersenbrück
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Heeslinger SC
+137%
-2%
TuS Bersenbrück

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
BW Lohne
20
39
23%
Spelle-Venhaus
18
39
24%
Ramlingen / Ehlershausen
17
34
14%
Germania Egestorf
17
30
10%
Lupo-Martini
16
32
13%
Heeslinger SC
14
37
6%
BSV Kickers Emden
13
28
7%
MTV Gifhorn
13
26
7%
SVG Göttingen
12
26
11º
7%
Schwalbe Tundern
10º
12
25
12º
6%
VfL Oldenburg
11º
11
26
10º
7%
Wolfenbüttel
12º
10
21
14º
7%
TB Uphusen
13º
10
22
13º
7%
Arminia Hannover
14º
8
27
6%
Eintracht Northeim
15º
8
16
16º
8%
Rotenburger SV
16º
6
14
18º
8%
Hagen/Uthlede
17º
5
12
19º
12%
TuS Bersenbrück
18º
4
14
17º
10%
FT Braunschweig
19º
4
10
20º
14%
MTV Eintracht Celle
20º
4
20
15º
13%
Expected probabilities
Heeslinger SC
TuS Bersenbrück
Champion
18% 0%
Promotion playoffs
61% 1%
Relegation playoffs
15% 12%
Mid-table
6% 87%

ELO progression

Heeslinger SC
HEE
TuS Bersenbrück
TUB
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Heeslinger SC
Heeslinger SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO HEE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2020
HEE
Heeslinger SC
4 - 2
BSV Kickers Emden
BSV
46%
27%
28%
149 179 -30 +1

Matches

TuS Bersenbrück
TuS Bersenbrück
1%
X%
2%
ELO TUB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2020
MEC
MTV Eintracht Celle
2 - 1
TuS Bersenbrück
TUB
49%
26%
25%
91 211 120 -1