Heerenveen vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ZWO
0 - 2
SCH
32%
22%
45%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
GRO
2 - 1
SCH
32%
24%
44%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SCH
3 - 2
FCO
75%
16%
8%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
SCH
0 - 2
MTA
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
SCH
2 - 2
KVK
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
VIC
0 - 1
LEC
27%
24%
49%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
LEC
1 - 1
VNZ
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
VNZ
1 - 0
LEC
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
EMP
2 - 1
LEC
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
LEC
2 - 2
REG
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |