Heerenveen vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
60.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
16º
10º
78
2º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 91 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
78 | 82 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 67 |
3º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 65 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 56 |
5º
|
90% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
65% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
9º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 40 |
10º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 36 |
13º
|
37.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 35 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
80.5% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 27 |
16º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 21 |
17º
|
72% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 20 |
18º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
NEC
2 - 0
SCH
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 0
ZWO
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
VOL
0 - 4
SCH
28%
24%
48%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SCH
0 - 2
GAE
40%
26%
35%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 2
AJA
15%
19%
66%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FEY
3 - 0
HER
68%
19%
14%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PSV
2 - 2
FEY
44%
24%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
FEY
2 - 1
GRO
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 2
FEY
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
ROM
1 - 1
FEY
50%
23%
28%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |