Eredivisie Eredivisie round 27

Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle analysis

Heerenveen PEC Zwolle
77 ELO 72
27% Tilt 23.8%
507º General ELO ranking 554º
12º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
62.7%
Heerenveen
20%
Draw
17.2%
PEC Zwolle

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
Heerenveen
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.2%
Win probability
PEC Zwolle
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Heerenveen
-6%
-7%
PEC Zwolle

ELO progression

Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Heerenveen
Heerenveen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 2014
HER
Heracles
1 - 2
Heerenveen
SCH
32%
24%
45%
77 71 6 0
22 Feb. 2014
SCH
Heerenveen
0 - 0
NAC Breda
NAC
68%
18%
14%
77 70 7 0
16 Feb. 2014
AJA
Ajax
3 - 0
Heerenveen
SCH
68%
19%
14%
77 88 11 0
09 Feb. 2014
GRO
Groningen
1 - 3
Heerenveen
SCH
28%
24%
48%
77 69 8 0
05 Feb. 2014
SCH
Heerenveen
0 - 2
Twente
TWE
43%
24%
34%
77 84 7 0

Matches

PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2014
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
3 - 3
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
51%
25%
25%
73 68 5 0
22 Feb. 2014
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
1 - 1
Heracles
HER
46%
25%
30%
73 70 3 0
16 Feb. 2014
BVO
Cambuur
3 - 1
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
37%
27%
37%
74 68 6 -1
09 Feb. 2014
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
1 - 1
Ajax
AJA
15%
20%
65%
74 88 14 0
06 Feb. 2014
UTR
Utrecht
1 - 2
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
53%
24%
23%
73 75 2 +1