Heerenveen vs FC Volendam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
16º
10º
19
11º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 91 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 82 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 67 |
3º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 65 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 56 |
5º
|
90% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
65% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
9º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 40 |
10º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 36 |
13º
|
37.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 35 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
80.5% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 27 |
16º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 21 |
17º
|
72% | |
|
|
17º
|
19 | 20 |
18º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
PSV
2 - 0
SCH
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
SCH
3 - 0
ALM
51%
24%
24%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SCH
3 - 0
FOR
54%
24%
21%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 3
SCH
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
4 - 1
SCH
70%
18%
13%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FC Volendam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
FEY
3 - 1
VOL
77%
15%
9%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
VOL
0 - 5
ZWO
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AZA
3 - 0
VOL
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
EXC
1 - 0
VOL
5%
11%
85%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 4
SPA
29%
25%
46%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |