Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SCH
3 - 2
RKC
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
GAE
0 - 1
SCH
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 1
LEC
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ZWO
0 - 2
SCH
32%
22%
45%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
GRO
2 - 1
SCH
32%
24%
44%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
AZA
2 - 1
CEL
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
CEL
2 - 0
AZA
40%
24%
36%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
RKC
1 - 0
AZA
9%
18%
74%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
AZA
2 - 1
TOR
57%
23%
21%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
AZA
1 - 0
RSO
28%
26%
46%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |