Hebei FC vs Shaanxi Chang'an analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hebei FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
WUZ
1 - 1
HEB
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
HEB
1 - 0
SHA
21%
24%
55%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
CHA
3 - 0
HEB
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
HEB
0 - 0
BEI
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
SHA
0 - 0
HEB
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Shaanxi Chang'an
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
BIT
1 - 1
SCA
18%
25%
57%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
SCA
0 - 0
CBC
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ANH
1 - 1
SCA
41%
29%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
SCA
0 - 2
KUN
42%
29%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
SCA
2 - 0
BIT
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |