Hebei FC vs Guangzhou FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
54.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hebei FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
SHA
1 - 0
HEB
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2022 |
SHA
2 - 1
HEB
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
HEB
2 - 1
WUZ
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
WFC
5 - 0
HEB
54%
24%
21%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
HEB
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 1
SHA
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2022 |
WUZ
2 - 1
GUA
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
WFC
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
SHA
2 - 1
GUA
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
HEB
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |