Hebei FC vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hebei FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 1
HEB
45%
23%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
JIA
3 - 1
HEB
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
HEB
3 - 2
DAL
54%
24%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CHO
4 - 4
HEB
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
HEB
0 - 3
GUA
20%
23%
58%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
BEI
3 - 1
SHA
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
TIA
0 - 0
BEI
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
HEN
2 - 0
BEI
23%
27%
50%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
BEI
1 - 1
CHA
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 3
BEI
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |