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NPFL. Matchday 22

Heartland Owerri vs Rivers United analysis

Heartland Owerri Rivers United
32 ELO 33
15% Tilt -42%
4049º General ELO ranking 4223º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
62.5%
Heartland Owerri
24.4%
Draw
13.1%
Rivers United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
Heartland Owerri
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
13.1%
Win probability
Rivers United
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Heartland Owerri
-29%
-15%
Rivers United

Basic stats

44
56
POS
16
8
SOT
9
4
COR
0
2
GF
2
0
GC
32
33
ELO
1.6
0.6
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Heartland Owerri
Their league position
Rivers United
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
19º
13º
45
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Plateau United
49
70
38%
Enyimba
36
66
9%
Rivers United
45
63
14%
Lobi Stars
43
61
11%
Enugu Rangers
37
56
6%
Kano Pillars
34
55
5%
Katsina United
34
51
11º
6%
Akwa United
35
53
6%
Warri Wolves FC
33
53
5%
Sunshine Stars
10º
34
54
5%
Ifeanyi Ubah
11º
33
52
10º
5%
Dakkada
12º
34
50
12º
6%
Heartland Owerri
13º
32
49
14º
6%
Wikki Tourist
14º
31
49
13º
6%
MFM FC
15º
31
47
16º
6%
Abia Warriors
16º
30
47
17º
6%
Nasarawa United
17º
29
48
15º
6%
Jigawa Golden Stars
18º
29
46
18º
7%
Kwara United
19º
28
32
20º
17%
Adamawa United FC
20º
20
35
19º
12%
Expected probabilities
Heartland Owerri
Rivers United
Champion
2% 19%
CAF Champions League
4% 9%
CAF Confederation Cup
3% 14%
Mid-table
68% 54%
Relegation
23% 5%

ELO progression

Heartland Owerri
HEA
Rivers United
RIV
Dakkada
AST
Ifeanyi Ubah
GAB
Lobi Stars
LOB
Enugu Rangers
ENU
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Heartland Owerri
Heartland Owerri
1%
X%
2%
ELO HEA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2020
MFM
MFM FC
0 - 0
Heartland Owerri
HEA
46%
27%
28%
417 366 -51 0
16 Feb. 2020
HEA
Heartland Owerri
5 - 0
Adamawa United FC
ADA
47%
27%
26%
413 377 36 +4
09 Feb. 2020
ADA
Adamawa United FC
1 - 0
Heartland Owerri
HEA
46%
27%
27%
415 375 -40 -2
02 Feb. 2020
HEA
Heartland Owerri
1 - 0
Sunshine Stars
SUN
46%
27%
27%
413 450 -37 +2
26 Jan. 2020
AKW
Akwa United
3 - 1
Heartland Owerri
HEA
41%
28%
31%
417 334 -83 -3

Matches

Rivers United
Rivers United
1%
X%
2%
ELO RIV ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2020
RIV
Rivers United
2 - 1
Kano Pillars
KAN
46%
27%
27%
440 473 -33 +2
16 Feb. 2020
KWA
Kwara United
1 - 1
Rivers United
RIV
46%
27%
28%
440 375 -65 0
09 Feb. 2020
RIV
Rivers United
1 - 0
Kwara United
KWA
46%
27%
26%
438 376 62 +2
02 Feb. 2020
PLA
Plateau United
1 - 0
Rivers United
RIV
45%
27%
28%
440 430 -10 -2
26 Jan. 2020
RIV
Rivers United
0 - 0
Wikki Tourist
WIK
49%
26%
25%
441 321 120 0