Heartland Owerri vs Niger Tornadoes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.4%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
32.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heartland Owerri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
SUN
3 - 1
HEA
52%
27%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
HEA
1 - 0
ENY
26%
30%
44%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
KAT
1 - 1
HEA
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
HEA
1 - 0
LOB
34%
30%
36%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
AKW
0 - 0
HEA
70%
20%
10%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Niger Tornadoes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
NIG
1 - 1
MFM
42%
30%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
KWA
1 - 0
NIG
50%
28%
22%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
NAS
1 - 0
NIG
65%
22%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
NIG
1 - 0
SUN
37%
31%
33%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
ENY
1 - 1
NIG
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |