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NPFL. Matchday 29

Heartland Owerri MFM FC
32 ELO 28
19% Tilt -43%
3316º General ELO ranking 3771º
Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
64.3%
Heartland Owerri
23.7%
Draw
11.9%
MFM FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
Heartland Owerri
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.3%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
18.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
11.9%
Win probability
MFM FC
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Heartland Owerri
+4%
-33%
MFM FC

Points and table prediction

Heartland Owerri
Their league position
MFM FC
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
20º
10º
39
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Akwa United
53
69
23%
Nasarawa United
49
65
14%
Kano Pillars
49
63
11%
Rivers United
48
63
9%
Kwara United
46
63
9%
Enyimba
45
62
8%
Enugu Rangers
43
57
9%
Lobi Stars
43
57
9%
Plateau United
42
58
8%
MFM FC
10º
39
50
12º
9%
Heartland Owerri
11º
38
53
10º
8%
Dakkada
12º
37
49
13º
8%
Abia Warriors
13º
35
52
11º
8%
Jigawa Golden Stars
14º
33
44
14º
12%
Katsina United
15º
31
44
15º
11%
Wikki Tourist
16º
30
44
16º
12%
Ifeanyi Ubah
17º
28
40
17º
14%
Sunshine Stars
18º
27
38
19º
16%
Warri Wolves FC
19º
27
38
18º
16%
Adamawa United FC
20º
19
28
20º
70%
Expected probabilities
Heartland Owerri
MFM FC
Champion
2% 1%
CAF Champions League
3% 2%
CAF Confederation Cup
4% 3%
Mid-table
82% 84%
Relegation
9% 9%

ELO progression

Heartland Owerri
HEA
MFM FC
MFM
Kano Pillars
KAN
Lobi Stars
LOB
Adamawa United FC
ADA
Sunshine Stars
SUN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Heartland Owerri
Heartland Owerri
1%
X%
2%
ELO HEA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 May. 2021
NAS
Nasarawa United
3 - 1
Heartland Owerri
HEA
46%
27%
28%
412 361 -51 0
16 May. 2021
HEA
Heartland Owerri
2 - 0
Katsina United
KAT
47%
27%
26%
412 363 49 0
09 May. 2021
ADA
Adamawa United FC
0 - 1
Heartland Owerri
HEA
41%
28%
31%
412 344 -68 +2
30 May. 2021
ENY
Enyimba
0 - 0
Heartland Owerri
HEA
53%
25%
22%
412 589 177 0
26 May. 2021
HEA
Heartland Owerri
0 - 0
Plateau United
PLA
46%
27%
27%
412 437 -25 0

Matches

MFM FC
MFM FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO MFM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 May. 2021
MFM
MFM FC
1 - 0
Lobi Stars
LOB
46%
27%
27%
356 388 -32 0
16 May. 2021
WAR
Warri Wolves FC
0 - 2
MFM FC
MFM
47%
27%
26%
356 410 54 0
09 May. 2021
GAB
Ifeanyi Ubah
0 - 3
MFM FC
MFM
45%
27%
28%
356 359 3 +4
30 May. 2021
MFM
MFM FC
1 - 0
Dakkada
AST
46%
27%
28%
356 400 -44 0
26 May. 2021
SUN
Sunshine Stars
0 - 0
MFM FC
MFM
47%
27%
26%
356 429 73 0