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NPFL. Matchday 27

Heartland Owerri Jigawa Golden Stars
32 ELO 30
17% Tilt -47%
3316º General ELO ranking 3579º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
65.3%
Heartland Owerri
23.3%
Draw
11.3%
Jigawa Golden Stars

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
Heartland Owerri
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.6%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
18.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
11.3%
Win probability
Jigawa Golden Stars
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Heartland Owerri
+2%
-42%
Jigawa Golden Stars

Basic stats

50
50
POS
13
7
SOT
8
1
COR
2
1
GF
1
2
GC
32
30
ELO
1.7
0.5
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Heartland Owerri
Their league position
Jigawa Golden Stars
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
20º
11º
33
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Akwa United
53
69
25%
Nasarawa United
49
65
15%
Kano Pillars
49
64
11%
Rivers United
48
64
11%
Kwara United
46
64
11%
Enyimba
45
63
9%
Enugu Rangers
43
56
9%
Lobi Stars
43
57
9%
Plateau United
42
58
9%
Heartland Owerri
10º
38
53
10º
9%
Dakkada
11º
37
49
12º
8%
MFM FC
12º
36
49
13º
9%
Abia Warriors
13º
35
52
11º
8%
Jigawa Golden Stars
14º
33
44
15º
10%
Katsina United
15º
31
44
16º
10%
Wikki Tourist
16º
30
44
14º
11%
Ifeanyi Ubah
17º
28
39
17º
15%
Sunshine Stars
18º
27
37
19º
16%
Warri Wolves FC
19º
27
39
18º
16%
Adamawa United FC
20º
19
28
20º
70%
Expected probabilities
Heartland Owerri
Jigawa Golden Stars
Champion
2% 0%
CAF Champions League
3% 0%
CAF Confederation Cup
4% 1%
Mid-table
82% 68%
Relegation
9% 31%

ELO progression

Heartland Owerri
HEA
Jigawa Golden Stars
JGS
Kano Pillars
KAN
Ifeanyi Ubah
GAB
Adamawa United FC
ADA
MFM FC
MFM
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Heartland Owerri
Heartland Owerri
1%
X%
2%
ELO HEA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2021
ADA
Adamawa United FC
0 - 1
Heartland Owerri
HEA
41%
28%
31%
412 344 -68 +2
30 May. 2021
ENY
Enyimba
0 - 0
Heartland Owerri
HEA
53%
25%
22%
412 589 177 0
26 May. 2021
HEA
Heartland Owerri
0 - 0
Plateau United
PLA
46%
27%
27%
412 437 -25 0
23 May. 2021
NAS
Nasarawa United
3 - 1
Heartland Owerri
HEA
46%
27%
28%
412 361 -51 0
16 May. 2021
HEA
Heartland Owerri
2 - 0
Katsina United
KAT
47%
27%
26%
412 363 49 0

Matches

Jigawa Golden Stars
Jigawa Golden Stars
1%
X%
2%
ELO JGS ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 May. 2021
JGS
Jigawa Golden Stars
2 - 1
Lobi Stars
LOB
45%
27%
28%
380 388 -8 +2
31 May. 2021
JGS
Jigawa Golden Stars
0 - 0
Abia Warriors
ABI
45%
27%
28%
380 377 3 0
27 May. 2021
ENU
Enugu Rangers
3 - 0
Jigawa Golden Stars
JGS
47%
27%
26%
380 432 52 0
23 May. 2021
JGS
Jigawa Golden Stars
1 - 1
Dakkada
AST
46%
27%
27%
380 400 -20 0
16 May. 2021
SUN
Sunshine Stars
0 - 0
Jigawa Golden Stars
JGS
47%
27%
26%
380 429 49 0