Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
3º
5º
4º
44
4º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
STM
1 - 1
HOM
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
HOM
3 - 0
HIB
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
STJ
2 - 3
HOM
29%
29%
42%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 2
HOM
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
HOM
3 - 1
KIL
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
STM
1 - 1
HOM
29%
28%
43%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
KIL
0 - 0
STM
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
LIV
1 - 1
STM
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
STM
3 - 1
ABE
29%
29%
42%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
STM
1 - 1
GLA
18%
24%
57%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |