Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
MHE
2 - 0
HOM
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
HOM
5 - 2
DUN
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ABE
2 - 1
HOM
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
STJ
1 - 1
HOM
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
HOM
1 - 1
DUN
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
STM
1 - 1
LIV
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
STJ
0 - 0
STM
41%
28%
32%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
STM
0 - 1
DUN
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
MHE
2 - 2
STM
43%
25%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
STM
1 - 2
GLA
21%
25%
54%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |