Scottish Premiership Temporada Regular round 13

Heart of Midlothian vs Celtic analysis

Heart of Midlothian Celtic
80 ELO 83
8.5% Tilt -0.9%
481º General ELO ranking 441º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
37.4%
Heart of Midlothian
23.3%
Draw
39.3%
Celtic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
Heart of Midlothian
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
39.3%
Win probability
Celtic
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Heart of Midlothian
+11%
+39%
Celtic

Points and table prediction

Heart of Midlothian
Their league position
Celtic
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
12º
81
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Celtic
81
81
100%
Rangers
66
66
100%
Hibernian FC
53
53
100%
Dundee United
50
50
100%
Aberdeen
50
50
100%
St. Mirren
41
41
100%
Heart of Midlothian
40
40
100%
Motherwell
39
39
100%
Kilmarnock
35
35
0%
Ross County FC
10º
35
35
10º
0%
Dundee
11º
34
34
11º
100%
St. Johnstone
12º
29
29
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Heart of Midlothian
Celtic
Play-offs for the title
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Heart of Midlothian
Celtic
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Heart of Midlothian
Heart of Midlothian
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Nov. 2024
GLA
Rangers
1 - 0
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
54%
23%
23%
81 83 2 0
07 Nov. 2024
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
0 - 2
Heidenheim
HEI
32%
24%
44%
81 87 6 0
02 Nov. 2024
STJ
St. Johnstone
1 - 2
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
20%
26%
54%
81 70 11 0
30 Oct. 2024
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
1 - 2
Kilmarnock
KIL
55%
24%
20%
81 79 2 0
27 Oct. 2024
HIB
Hibernian FC
1 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
41%
26%
33%
81 78 3 0

Matches

Celtic
Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Nov. 2024
KIL
Kilmarnock
0 - 2
Celtic
CEL
30%
24%
46%
83 79 4 0
05 Nov. 2024
CEL
Celtic
3 - 1
RB Leipzig
RBL
12%
17%
71%
83 97 14 0
02 Nov. 2024
CEL
Celtic
6 - 0
Aberdeen
ABE
58%
21%
22%
83 83 0 0
30 Oct. 2024
CEL
Celtic
2 - 0
Dundee
DUN
68%
18%
14%
83 76 7 0
27 Oct. 2024
MHE
Motherwell
0 - 3
Celtic
CEL
32%
24%
44%
83 79 4 0