Heanor Town FC vs Lincoln United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
57.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heanor Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
HEA
6 - 1
PIU
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BOS
1 - 3
HEA
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
HEA
3 - 2
MEL
25%
21%
55%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SLE
3 - 2
HEA
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
WIS
4 - 2
HEA
38%
22%
40%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Lincoln United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LIN
6 - 0
MAN
80%
13%
6%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 1
SLE
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 2
SHC
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -3 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
LIN
7%
12%
81%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
LIN
3 - 1
ASI
74%
15%
11%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |