Heanor Town FC vs Hinckley AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
51.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heanor Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
HIN
1 - 1
HEA
63%
19%
18%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
KIR
3 - 1
HEA
17%
20%
63%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
RET
3 - 1
HEA
66%
19%
15%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hinckley AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
HIN
1 - 1
HEA
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
5 - 2
HIN
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
HIN
2 - 1
RED
15%
20%
64%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | +3 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BRO
2 - 6
HIN
75%
16%
10%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
WAL
1 - 3
HIN
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | +1 |