HBS vs Smitshoek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
14º
10º
46
2º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
69.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
69.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HBS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
VOC
5 - 2
HBS
24%
21%
56%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HBS
0 - 0
HEE
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 1
HBS
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HBS
1 - 2
DSO
68%
19%
14%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
4 - 0
HBS
23%
23%
54%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Smitshoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SMI
2 - 2
POO
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
SCF
0 - 1
SMI
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SMI
1 - 2
ASW
70%
18%
13%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ZWA
1 - 2
SMI
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SMI
3 - 0
RVV
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |