HBS vs Hollandia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
4º
4º
46
7º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HBS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HOO
2 - 2
HBS
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
HBS
2 - 1
VOC
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VKW
3 - 2
HBS
8%
17%
75%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
HBS
2 - 0
BEQ
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
HEI
0 - 1
HBS
12%
20%
68%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Hollandia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
HOL
1 - 4
BEQ
28%
25%
47%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
HEI
1 - 3
HOL
35%
23%
41%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
HOL
0 - 1
RKA
25%
26%
49%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
HOL
4 - 1
RKV
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SJC
2 - 2
HOL
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |