HBS vs Alphense Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
4º
4º
32
8º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HBS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PUR
2 - 2
HBS
25%
24%
52%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
HBS
2 - 2
HOL
75%
17%
9%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HOO
2 - 2
HBS
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
HBS
2 - 1
VOC
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VKW
3 - 2
HBS
8%
17%
75%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Alphense Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ALP
0 - 0
BEQ
21%
22%
57%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
HEI
4 - 0
ALP
27%
21%
52%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -3 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ALP
2 - 0
RKA
19%
24%
57%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +5 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RKV
0 - 0
ALP
27%
22%
51%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ALP
3 - 3
SJC
17%
18%
66%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |