HBOK vs Roda'46 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
56.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
6º
14º
12º
37
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HBOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
VVM
1 - 2
HBO
39%
22%
39%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HBO
4 - 0
OLY
49%
21%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HBO
0 - 1
BOL
20%
19%
61%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SDC
2 - 2
HBO
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
HBO
2 - 3
ZUI
16%
18%
66%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Roda'46
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ROD
3 - 3
MON
51%
22%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ZOB
4 - 4
ROD
36%
22%
42%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ROD
3 - 1
FCD
73%
15%
12%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ARG
2 - 1
ROD
31%
22%
47%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ROD
2 - 2
NSC
61%
19%
20%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |