Hawks vs Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
30.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
HAW
2 - 1
BAN
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
GAL
3 - 1
HAW
27%
29%
44%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
STE
0 - 0
HAW
36%
32%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
HAW
1 - 1
MAR
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
HAW
3 - 2
HAF
65%
22%
14%
|
61 | 24 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
FAL
1 - 4
GAL
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
STE
0 - 1
FAL
32%
30%
39%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FAL
1 - 2
FOR
42%
29%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
FAL
2 - 1
RHI
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
FAL
2 - 1
DLI
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 20 | 41 | 0 |