Premiership round 9

Hawkes Bay United vs Wellington Phoenix II analysis

Hawkes Bay United Wellington Phoenix II
60 ELO 47
23.9% Tilt 27.6%
25624º General ELO ranking 10383º
141º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
71.9%
Hawkes Bay United
16.4%
Draw
11.7%
Wellington Phoenix II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
Hawkes Bay United
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.7%
Win probability
Wellington Phoenix II
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Hawkes Bay United
Wellington Phoenix II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hawkes Bay United
Hawkes Bay United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Dec. 2018
HAW
Hawkes Bay United
1 - 4
Eastern Suburbs
EAS
43%
25%
32%
61 65 4 0
09 Dec. 2018
HAW
Hawkes Bay United
3 - 2
Southern United
SOU
63%
21%
17%
61 56 5 0
02 Dec. 2018
TAS
Tasman United
2 - 4
Hawkes Bay United
HAW
38%
25%
37%
60 57 3 +1
25 Nov. 2018
HAW
Hawkes Bay United
4 - 0
Waitakere United
WAI
43%
24%
34%
58 60 2 +2
18 Nov. 2018
TEA
Team Wellington
2 - 2
Hawkes Bay United
HAW
74%
15%
11%
58 71 13 0

Matches

Wellington Phoenix II
Wellington Phoenix II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Dec. 2018
HAW
Hamilton Wanderers
3 - 1
Wellington Phoenix II
WEL
49%
23%
28%
49 50 1 0
02 Dec. 2018
WEL
Wellington Phoenix II
1 - 2
Southern United
SOU
45%
23%
32%
50 55 5 -1
25 Nov. 2018
WEL
Wellington Phoenix II
0 - 3
Auckland City
AUC
20%
25%
55%
50 72 22 0
18 Nov. 2018
TAS
Tasman United
3 - 2
Wellington Phoenix II
WEL
61%
21%
18%
50 57 7 0
11 Nov. 2018
WEL
Wellington Phoenix II
2 - 3
Canterbury United
CAN
24%
24%
51%
50 65 15 0