Haverfordwest County vs Undy Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
HAV
2 - 0
FLI
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BAL
6 - 2
HAV
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
HAV
6 - 0
BRE
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 15 | 34 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 2
HAV
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
HAV
0 - 1
TNS
12%
18%
70%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Undy Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
TAF
3 - 0
UND
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
UND
1 - 2
LLA
21%
20%
60%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
7 - 0
UND
87%
10%
3%
|
26 | 58 | 32 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PON
5 - 1
UND
79%
13%
9%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
POR
0 - 5
UND
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |