Haverfordwest County vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
44.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
11º
7º
41
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
AIR
1 - 2
HAV
29%
23%
48%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FLI
0 - 1
HAV
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 3
TNS
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 4
BAL
22%
25%
53%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
HAV
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 0
TNS
35%
25%
40%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CON
0 - 3
PEN
6%
14%
80%
|
62 | 27 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 2
PEN
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 1
PEN
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 1
CON
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |