Haverfordwest County vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
69.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
HAV
20%
22%
58%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
HAV
1 - 2
CAM
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BRI
2 - 2
HAV
23%
23%
54%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 4
HAV
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
HAV
3 - 4
MON
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LLA
1 - 4
BAL
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
ABE
0 - 2
LLA
17%
23%
60%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LLA
0 - 3
NEW
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
TNS
0 - 0
LLA
54%
23%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CON
3 - 1
LLA
16%
22%
63%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |