3. Liga . Jor. 21

Havelse vs MSV Duisburg analysis

Havelse MSV Duisburg
47 ELO 54
3.4% Tilt 9%
3489º General ELO ranking 2460º
100º Country ELO ranking 69º
ELO win probability
27.2%
Havelse
24%
Draw
48.9%
MSV Duisburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
Havelse
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
48.9%
Win probability
MSV Duisburg
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Havelse
+3%
+1%
MSV Duisburg

ELO progression

Havelse
MSV Duisburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Havelse
Havelse
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jan. 2022
HOL
Holstein Kiel
5 - 0
Havelse
HAV
79%
14%
7%
48 71 23 0
18 Dec. 2021
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
2 - 2
Havelse
HAV
77%
16%
8%
47 64 17 +1
11 Dec. 2021
HAV
Havelse
1 - 2
Waldhof Mannheim
WAL
18%
25%
57%
47 63 16 0
05 Dec. 2021
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
0 - 0
Havelse
HAV
71%
19%
10%
47 64 17 0
27 Nov. 2021
HAV
Havelse
2 - 3
1860 München
MUN
12%
21%
67%
47 67 20 0

Matches

MSV Duisburg
MSV Duisburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2022
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
2 - 2
MSV Duisburg
MSV
29%
24%
47%
54 50 4 0
11 Dec. 2021
MSV
MSV Duisburg
2 - 2
Verl
VER
38%
24%
38%
54 56 2 0
05 Dec. 2021
FRE
Freiburg II
1 - 0
MSV Duisburg
MSV
43%
26%
32%
54 56 2 0
26 Nov. 2021
MSV
MSV Duisburg
1 - 3
Waldhof Mannheim
WAL
36%
27%
37%
55 62 7 -1
20 Nov. 2021
MUN
1860 München
3 - 2
MSV Duisburg
MSV
60%
23%
17%
56 67 11 -1
X