Regionalliga Norte. Jor. 15

Havelse vs VfB Lübeck analysis

Havelse VfB Lübeck
42 ELO 53
-0.7% Tilt 3.5%
3408º General ELO ranking 3068º
97º Country ELO ranking 82º
ELO win probability
18.5%
Havelse
24%
Draw
57.4%
VfB Lübeck

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
Havelse
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
57.5%
Win probability
VfB Lübeck
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Havelse
+17%
-23%
VfB Lübeck

ELO progression

Havelse
VfB Lübeck
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Havelse
Havelse
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2019
HOL
Holstein Kiel II
0 - 0
Havelse
HAV
58%
21%
21%
39 43 4 0
06 Oct. 2019
HAV
Havelse
0 - 1
Eintracht Norderstedt
EIN
54%
23%
24%
40 36 4 -1
29 Sep. 2019
STP
St. Pauli II
1 - 0
Havelse
HAV
23%
23%
55%
42 33 9 -2
20 Sep. 2019
HAV
Havelse
2 - 3
Werder Bremen II
WER
31%
25%
45%
43 47 4 -1
14 Sep. 2019
HEI
Heider SV
0 - 1
Havelse
HAV
15%
19%
66%
42 27 15 +1

Matches

VfB Lübeck
VfB Lübeck
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2019
EIN
Eintracht Norderstedt
1 - 2
VfB Lübeck
LUB
12%
19%
69%
54 38 16 0
06 Oct. 2019
LUB
VfB Lübeck
2 - 1
Werder Bremen II
WER
55%
24%
22%
53 47 6 +1
28 Sep. 2019
HAM
 Hamburger SV II
2 - 3
VfB Lübeck
LUB
24%
25%
51%
53 42 11 0
23 Sep. 2019
LUB
VfB Lübeck
3 - 1
VfB Oldenburg
VFB
64%
21%
14%
53 42 11 0
14 Sep. 2019
BSV
BSV Rehden
1 - 0
VfB Lübeck
LUB
19%
25%
56%
54 42 12 -1
X