Havant & Waterlooville vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
69.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Havant & Waterlooville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
HAV
0 - 2
CHI
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
HEM
0 - 0
HAV
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
HAV
3 - 0
HAM
62%
21%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
WEL
2 - 2
HAV
16%
22%
63%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
HAV
3 - 0
EAS
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SHW
4 - 1
OPA
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
OPA
3 - 2
WIG
36%
27%
38%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
OPA
3 - 1
GIL
65%
21%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 1
OPA
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
OPA
3 - 2
LIN
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |