Havant & Waterlooville vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Havant & Waterlooville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
HAV
6 - 0
DOR
29%
26%
45%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
DAR
1 - 1
HAV
44%
25%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
HAM
3 - 4
HAV
36%
25%
39%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
HAV
1 - 1
WEL
33%
26%
42%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
HAV
2 - 0
EAS
24%
22%
54%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2019 |
CHM
4 - 0
DAR
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
WEY
4 - 1
CHM
57%
23%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
CON
2 - 1
CHM
54%
23%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
CHM
4 - 1
HAM
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
CHM
1 - 0
ALD
55%
23%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |