FA Cup . Previa 3
Global 5-6
Hastings United vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hastings United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
HAS
1 - 0
WHY
68%
18%
15%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
EAS
0 - 0
HAS
19%
20%
61%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
HAS
2 - 1
BRO
77%
14%
10%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
HAS
2 - 0
FAV
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
CRA
0 - 0
HAS
34%
21%
44%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 2
WOR
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
WOR
3 - 0
BOG
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
WOR
0 - 6
HOR
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
WOR
3 - 1
LEW
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
FOL
2 - 0
WOR
62%
20%
17%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |