Hastings United vs Carshalton Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hastings United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
WAL
0 - 2
HAS
34%
25%
41%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 3
HAS
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
HAS
1 - 4
FOL
18%
22%
60%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
HAS
3 - 1
HYT
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 1
HAS
38%
26%
36%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Carshalton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
TOO
3 - 0
CAR
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 0
SIT
31%
25%
45%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
WHI
3 - 2
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
GUE
2 - 1
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 4
DOR
13%
19%
68%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | -1 |