Non League Div One . Semi-finals

Hastings United vs Ashford United analysis

Hastings United Ashford United
34 ELO 32
4.7% Tilt 6.9%
5582º General ELO ranking 9805º
252º Country ELO ranking 580º
ELO win probability
58.5%
Hastings United
19.6%
Draw
21.9%
Ashford United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
Hastings United
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
21.9%
Win probability
Ashford United
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hastings United
+4%
-12%
Ashford United

ELO progression

Hastings United
Ashford United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hastings United
Hastings United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2019
GRE
Greenwich Borough
1 - 3
Hastings United
HAS
16%
20%
64%
33 21 12 0
22 Apr. 2019
HAS
Hastings United
2 - 2
Ashford United
ASH
61%
19%
20%
34 30 4 -1
20 Apr. 2019
SIT
Sittingbourne
0 - 3
Hastings United
HAS
14%
19%
68%
33 19 14 +1
13 Apr. 2019
HAS
Hastings United
1 - 1
Hythe Town
HYT
60%
20%
21%
33 28 5 0
30 Mar. 2019
HAS
Hastings United
3 - 0
Ramsgate
RAM
67%
18%
15%
32 24 8 +1

Matches

Ashford United
Ashford United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2019
ASH
Ashford United
5 - 0
Haywards Heath Town
HAY
45%
22%
33%
30 30 0 0
22 Apr. 2019
HAS
Hastings United
2 - 2
Ashford United
ASH
61%
19%
20%
30 34 4 0
19 Apr. 2019
ASH
Ashford United
3 - 1
VCD Athletic
VCD
46%
22%
33%
28 28 0 +2
13 Apr. 2019
CRA
Cray Wanderers
3 - 1
Ashford United
ASH
75%
14%
11%
30 36 6 -2
06 Apr. 2019
HYT
Hythe Town
3 - 1
Ashford United
ASH
38%
22%
39%
31 26 5 -1
X