Non League Div One Isthmian North. Jor. 21

Hashtag United vs Bury Town analysis

Hashtag United Bury Town
37 ELO 24
-5.1% Tilt -4.9%
5851º General ELO ranking 6176º
272º Country ELO ranking 296º
ELO win probability
75.4%
Hashtag United
14.9%
Draw
9.8%
Bury Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
Hashtag United
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
9.8%
Win probability
Bury Town
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hashtag United
-14%
+91%
Bury Town

Points and table prediction

Hashtag United
Their league position
Bury Town
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
97
15º
50
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hashtag United
97
98
100%
AFC Sudbury
91
91
100%
Lowestoft Town
74
77
100%
Grays Athletic
69
72
100%
Felixstowe & Walton Utd
69
69
100%
Heybridge Swifts
66
69
100%
Stowmarket Town
63
66
100%
Brentwood Town
52
55
100%
New Salamis
55
55
100%
Wroxham
10º
50
50
10º
100%
Bury Town
11º
50
50
11º
100%
East Thurrock United FC
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Gorleston
13º
41
44
13º
100%
Basildon United
15º
39
40
14º
100%
Maldon & Tiptree
14º
39
39
15º
100%
Witham Town
16º
32
35
16º
100%
Great Wakering Rovers
17º
27
30
17º
100%
Coggeshall Town
19º
25
28
18º
100%
Tilbury
18º
27
27
19º
100%
Hullbridge Sports
20º
19
22
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Hashtag United
Bury Town
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Hashtag United
Bury Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hashtag United
Hashtag United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jan. 2023
WHI
Witham Town
0 - 4
Hashtag United
HTG
9%
16%
75%
37 17 20 0
26 Dec. 2022
HTG
Hashtag United
5 - 2
Brentwood Town
BRE
70%
17%
13%
36 26 10 +1
10 Dec. 2022
HTG
Hashtag United
2 - 0
Gorleston
GOR
86%
10%
4%
36 16 20 0
03 Dec. 2022
GRE
Great Wakering Rovers
0 - 3
Hashtag United
HTG
14%
17%
69%
36 17 19 0
26 Nov. 2022
HTG
Hashtag United
3 - 0
Basildon United
BAS
84%
11%
5%
35 17 18 +1

Matches

Bury Town
Bury Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jan. 2023
BUR
Bury Town
1 - 1
Lowestoft Town
LOW
30%
22%
47%
25 30 5 0
27 Dec. 2022
YEL
AFC Sudbury
2 - 1
Bury Town
BUR
78%
14%
8%
25 39 14 0
20 Dec. 2022
BUR
Bury Town
1 - 0
Heybridge Swifts
HEY
20%
22%
58%
23 36 13 +2
06 Dec. 2022
BRE
Brentwood Town
0 - 0
Bury Town
BUR
58%
21%
21%
23 26 3 0
03 Dec. 2022
GRA
Grays Athletic
1 - 0
Bury Town
BUR
63%
19%
18%
24 28 4 -1
X