Hartley Wintney vs Melksham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
HAR
1 - 0
SWI
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
DOR
3 - 2
HAR
22%
23%
56%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
HAR
2 - 1
HEN
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SAL
2 - 2
HAR
76%
15%
10%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
HAR
1 - 2
TAU
24%
21%
55%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Melksham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 2
MEL
22%
22%
56%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MEL
4 - 3
PLY
27%
21%
52%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MEL
3 - 2
BAS
31%
23%
45%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SLI
0 - 5
MEL
51%
22%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
CIN
1 - 0
MEL
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |