Hartley Wintney vs Gosport Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
WHI
0 - 0
HAR
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
HAR
2 - 0
WIM
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
HAR
0 - 3
HAR
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MER
2 - 2
HAR
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
HAR
1 - 4
POO
25%
24%
51%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Gosport Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GOS
3 - 0
CHE
35%
26%
39%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
WES
0 - 1
GOS
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
WAL
1 - 0
GOS
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
GOS
4 - 3
POO
25%
25%
50%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
HUN
1 - 1
GOS
60%
23%
18%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |