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Conference. Matchday 46

Hartlepool United vs Dover Athletic analysis

Hartlepool United Dover Athletic
19 ELO 15
22% Tilt -8%
4554º General ELO ranking 5184º
95º Country ELO ranking 105º
ELO win probability
56.8%
Hartlepool United
23.5%
Draw
19.7%
Dover Athletic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
Hartlepool United
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.7%
Win probability
Dover Athletic
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hartlepool United
+29%
-40%
Dover Athletic

Points and table prediction

Hartlepool United
Their league position
Dover Athletic
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
10º
0
13º
23º
23º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
23º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sutton United
84
88
100%
Torquay United
80
84
98%
Stockport County
77
81
82%
Hartlepool United
76
80
73%
Notts County
70
74
53%
Chesterfield
69
73
23%
Bromley
69
73
20%
Wrexham
68
72
35%
Eastleigh
66
69
33%
FC Halifax Town
10º
65
69
11º
25%
Solihull Moors
11º
64
69
10º
33%
Dagenham & Redbridge
12º
60
64
12º
99%
Maidenhead United
13º
56
60
13º
74%
Boreham Wood
14º
55
59
14º
53%
Aldershot Town
15º
52
56
15º
46%
Yeovil Town
16º
52
56
16º
46%
Altrincham
17º
47
50
17º
100%
Weymouth
18º
39
42
18º
73%
Wealdstone
19º
37
40
20º
0%
Woking
20º
33
36
21º
0%
Kings Lynn Town
21º
31
34
22º
22%
Barnet
22º
31
34
23º
40%
Dover Athletic
23º
0
41
19º
8%
Expected probabilities
Hartlepool United
Dover Athletic
Champion
0% 1%
Promotion playoffs
100% 9%
Mid-table
0% 63%
Relegation
0% 26%

ELO progression

Dover Athletic
DOV
Hartlepool United
HAR
Bromley
BRO
Stockport County
STO
Torquay United
GUL
Runcorn Linnets
RUN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hartlepool United
Hartlepool United
1%
X%
2%
ELO HAR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 May. 2021
SUT
Sutton United
3 - 0
Hartlepool United
HAR
46%
27%
27%
259 239 -20 -1
15 May. 2021
ALD
Aldershot Town
1 - 3
Hartlepool United
HAR
45%
27%
28%
258 223 -35 +1
08 May. 2021
HAR
Hartlepool United
2 - 4
Maidenhead United
MAI
47%
27%
26%
259 211 48 -1
03 May. 2021
BRO
Bromley
1 - 0
Hartlepool United
HAR
45%
27%
28%
260 221 -39 -1
01 May. 2021
HAR
Hartlepool United
3 - 1
Chesterfield
CHE
47%
27%
26%
259 161 98 +1