Hartlepool United vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
HAR
2 - 0
WAL
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 2
HAR
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
HAR
0 - 1
CRE
29%
24%
48%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
HAR
1 - 0
CRA
42%
26%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
BLY
2 - 1
HAR
11%
17%
72%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CUM
1 - 1
LEY
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
POR
0 - 0
CUM
39%
27%
35%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SWI
1 - 2
CUM
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
SHE
1 - 0
CUM
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CUM
0 - 0
COL
56%
24%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |