Harrow Borough vs Swindon Supermarine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
HAR
3 - 2
TAU
22%
22%
57%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
HAY
4 - 2
HAR
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 1
KIN
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
BEA
6 - 1
HAR
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -3 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 1
HAY
22%
22%
57%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
DOR
2 - 1
SWI
26%
24%
50%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
TAU
2 - 0
SWI
72%
16%
12%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
SWI
2 - 0
MER
82%
12%
6%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
SWI
2 - 1
CHE
21%
25%
54%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
POO
2 - 1
SWI
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |