Harrogate Town vs Penistone Church analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
5.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 4
TOW
29%
25%
47%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 5
TOW
18%
23%
58%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
TOW
1 - 2
SAL
44%
25%
32%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
TOW
1 - 1
BRA
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
BLY
0 - 2
TOW
63%
20%
18%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Penistone Church
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
PEN
3 - 2
WHI
19%
21%
60%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 0
LIT
72%
16%
13%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
CHA
3 - 4
PEN
49%
21%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 3
CHE
80%
13%
8%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 2
PON
33%
23%
44%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |