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Conference North. Matchday 39

Harrogate Town vs Blyth Spartans analysis

Harrogate Town Blyth Spartans
11 ELO 9
-5% Tilt -13%
8402º General ELO ranking 8040º
743º Country ELO ranking 733º
ELO win probability
45.7%
Harrogate Town
28.3%
Draw
26.1%
Blyth Spartans

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
Harrogate Town
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
26.1%
Win probability
Blyth Spartans
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Harrogate Town
Their league position
Blyth Spartans
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
18º
14º
34
11º
22º
21º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
21º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hyde
90
90
100%
Guiseley
85
85
100%
FC Halifax Town
74
74
50%
Gainsborough Trinity
74
74
50%
Nuneaton Town
72
72
100%
Stalybridge Celtic
71
71
100%
Worcester City
65
65
100%
Altrincham
61
61
100%
Droylsden
59
59
100%
Bishops Stortford
10º
58
58
10º
100%
Boston United
11º
54
54
11º
100%
Colwyn Bay
12º
53
53
12º
100%
Workington
13º
52
52
15º
33%
Gloucester City
14º
52
52
13º
33%
Harrogate Town
15º
52
52
14º
33%
Histon
16º
51
51
16º
100%
Corby Town
17º
50
50
17º
50%
Vauxhall Motors
18º
50
50
18º
50%
Solihull Moors
19º
49
49
19º
100%
Hinckley United
20º
48
48
20º
100%
Blyth Spartans
21º
34
34
21º
100%
Eastwood Town
22º
20
20
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Harrogate Town
Blyth Spartans
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Blyth Spartans
BLY
Harrogate Town
TOW
Hyde
HYD
Colwyn Bay
COL
Solihull Moors
SOL
Hinckley United
HIN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Harrogate Town
Harrogate Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO TOW ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2012
THE
Boston United
0 - 2
Harrogate Town
TOW
47%
27%
26%
161 197 36 +1
03 Apr. 2012
DRO
Droylsden
1 - 1
Harrogate Town
TOW
46%
27%
26%
161 226 65 0
31 Mar. 2012
TOW
Harrogate Town
0 - 2
Worcester City
THE
46%
27%
27%
162 165 -3 -1
24 Mar. 2012
TOW
Harrogate Town
0 - 1
Workington
WOR
44%
27%
29%
163 140 23 -1
20 Mar. 2012
GUI
Guiseley
2 - 1
Harrogate Town
TOW
46%
27%
27%
164 162 -2 -1

Matches

Blyth Spartans
Blyth Spartans
1%
X%
2%
ELO BLY ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2012
BLY
Blyth Spartans
2 - 3
Gainsborough Trinity
GAI
47%
27%
26%
148 98 50 -1
03 Apr. 2012
BLY
Blyth Spartans
2 - 1
Solihull Moors
SOL
44%
27%
29%
147 136 11 +1
31 Mar. 2012
VAU
Vauxhall Motors
2 - 1
Blyth Spartans
BLY
41%
28%
31%
148 89 -59 -1
24 Mar. 2012
BLY
Blyth Spartans
0 - 1
Gloucester City
THE
44%
27%
29%
149 140 9 -1
17 Mar. 2012
SOL
Solihull Moors
2 - 2
Blyth Spartans
BLY
46%
27%
27%
149 135 -14 0