Harrogate Railway vs Farsley Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
66.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Railway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
MOS
5 - 3
HAR
81%
13%
6%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 2
BUR
11%
18%
72%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 3
CLI
11%
17%
72%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 3
LAN
14%
21%
66%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 2
WIT
13%
18%
68%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Farsley Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
FAR
1 - 3
GLO
19%
23%
57%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
WIT
2 - 1
FAR
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FAR
1 - 2
MOS
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
RAD
3 - 1
FAR
14%
20%
66%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 4
FAR
4%
14%
82%
|
35 | 5 | 30 | 0 |