Harrogate Railway vs Durham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Railway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
CHO
1 - 2
HAR
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
ROM
1 - 2
HAR
61%
21%
18%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
WIT
2 - 2
HAR
70%
18%
13%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
HAR
2 - 1
OSS
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
HAR
1 - 4
CHE
18%
24%
58%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Durham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
DUR
3 - 3
SKE
11%
18%
70%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
DUR
3 - 1
LEG
25%
22%
53%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +3 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
DUR
0 - 2
RAD
24%
23%
52%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
DUR
0 - 2
HAL
14%
18%
68%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
RAD
0 - 3
DUR
71%
16%
12%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +1 |