Penn FC vs Long Island Rough Riders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penn FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
PNN
4 - 0
DAY
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
PNN
0 - 0
PIT
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
RIC
2 - 2
PNN
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
PNN
1 - 2
CHA
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 2
PNN
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Long Island Rough Riders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
LON
0 - 1
REA
46%
24%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
LEH
0 - 2
LON
11%
18%
71%
|
49 | 17 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
LON
1 - 4
LAR
45%
25%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
LON
3 - 2
JER
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
LON
3 - 1
SEA
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |