USM El Harrach vs USM Bel Abbès analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
10%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM El Harrach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BEJ
2 - 0
HAR
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
HAR
3 - 0
ORA
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 3
HAR
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 0
USM
39%
30%
32%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TLE
1 - 2
HAR
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
USM Bel Abbès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
USM
1 - 0
JSK
24%
31%
45%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
EUL
2 - 0
USM
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
USM
0 - 2
SET
16%
25%
60%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
BBA
2 - 0
USM
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
USM
1 - 0
CAB
26%
28%
47%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |