USM El Harrach vs Aïn Fakroun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM El Harrach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ORA
1 - 1
HAR
31%
29%
40%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
HAR
2 - 2
EUL
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
USM
2 - 1
HAR
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
HAR
2 - 1
ARB
64%
23%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
HAR
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aïn Fakroun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
FAK
2 - 1
MOB
44%
29%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 1
FAK
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
FAK
2 - 1
CON
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
FAK
2 - 0
BBA
43%
29%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
JSK
1 - 0
FAK
62%
24%
14%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |