FA Cup . Previa 1
Global 2-4
Harpenden Town vs Romford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
56.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harpenden Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
HAT
1 - 1
ARL
75%
14%
11%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
HAT
0 - 3
AVE
11%
15%
74%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
HIT
5 - 0
HAT
69%
18%
13%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
RED
0 - 2
HAT
33%
21%
46%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
STO
3 - 0
HAT
36%
22%
43%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Romford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
HAR
1 - 2
ROM
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BUR
2 - 2
ROM
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
HIS
1 - 2
ROM
66%
18%
15%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
TOO
2 - 0
ROM
65%
20%
15%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
GRA
1 - 1
ROM
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |